New Hampshire just held the first presidential primary of 2024. As the first in the nation primary, this event tends to be a testing ground for candidates. Its results are significant.
Republican primary
According to the New York Times, former president Donald Trump won approximately 55% of the vote while former South Carolina governor and ambassador Nikki Haley won approximately 43%. Governor of Florida Ron DeSantis, even after officially dropping out of the race, won less than one percent.
Overall, It appears as though Haley poses a significant threat to Trump securing the Republican nomination.
What is even more surprising is how weakly Ron DeSantis performed, considering the fact that he was previously considered the main challenger to former president Donald Trump securing the Republican nomination.
Democratic primary
Although not officially recognized by the Democratic Party as a primary, President Joe Biden was not officially on the ballot, so a write-in campaign happened.
According to the New York Times, President Joe Biden decisively won with 55% of the vote. The next highest in terms of votes is Minnesota Congressman Dean Phillips, who managed to gain approximately 20% of the vote.
Overall, these results are far from surprising, considering that Joe Biden has a 78% approval rating among Democrats.
In summary, the public cannot expect any major upset in the Democratic primary as a whole, with president Biden very much expected to come out on top.
General election
If the results of New Hampshire foretell the future, the most realistic situation is that voters will see another Biden-Trump general election matchup.
While many Americans have expressed disdain about these options, it does not appear that the polls or early results are in favor of Haley making an upset victory against Trump.
However if there is a matchup between Biden and Trump, it will come down to whether or not voters value abortion rights or a lack of economic anxiety more.
However, Haley could potentially claim victory in the general if she wins the Republican primary. This is because she has been seen as being a more moderate and sensible alternative to Biden.
While it is too early in the 2024 election cycle to tell, American’s can be sure it is going to be a tight race and, as it has done throughout history, the New Hampshire primary points the way to the primary election results in general.
